State of the State

The Weekly Wrap 2-8

February 8, 2013

A poll that consumes the better part of the wrap this week

Darts in a dartboard

Pollster performance in Minnesota in 2012

December 5, 2012

Last week I discussed 2012 election polling in Minnesota on a macro level, how all the polls did in the four statewide races. In that post I did not get into how specific pollsters fared against each other, that is what’s happening in this post. Some individual pollsters did a really good job in Minnesota […]

Darts in a dartboard

Polling performance in Minnesota in 2012

November 29, 2012

A look at how the polling did in predicting Minnesota election outcomes

Vote NO Cake

New SurveyUSA poll shows support for amendments below 50%!

November 4, 2012

SurveyUSA’s previous poll of Minnesota caused me to write that the two amendment races had reached a stasis of sorts. This poll, and yesterdays PPP poll, completely blow up that theory. SurveyUSA (11/4, 10/30 in parenthesis, 10/15 in brackets): An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot would require voters to show photo I.D.’s in order to vote […]

Greta Bergstrom with Vote No sign

New Minnesota Amendments poll shows stable races

October 31, 2012

Which is not really a good thing

Obama Klobuchar Franken

Obama leads Romney in Minnesota says two new polls

October 31, 2012

Well, newish at least

John Kline

First poll of MN-2 has John Kline up by eight points

October 24, 2012

I posted yesterday about sixth and eighth congressional district polls and in that post I wrote this in regard to the status of the Minnesota’s second congressional district race: A case could be made that MN-2 should be Likely GOP (I’m not going to make it), but other than that, the rest are off the […]

Pile of Cash

The Weekly Wrap 10-19

October 19, 2012

Lots going on this week; race ratings, fundraising, polls, ad buys, more polls, and possible campaign dirty tricks

Vote NO on both Amendments

Photo Voter ID Amendment drops 18 (!) points in new poll

October 18, 2012

Support for the marriage amendment is down too

Michele Bachmann's mean face

Michele Bachmann leads by nine in first public poll of MN-6

October 16, 2012

We’ve already seen two polls of Minnesota’s Sixth Congressional district race between Representative Michele Bachmann and Jim Graves. Both of those polls were of the internal variety, and both from the Graves campaign itself. Those polls showed a Michele Bachmann lead of five and than two points. The first public poll of the race, conducted […]

Chip Pointing at Numbers

First public poll of MN-8 race shows a dead heat

October 11, 2012

And a few hints that Chip Cravaack may be in trouble


Partisan ID in polls

September 27, 2012

The release by the StarTribune of their latest Minnesota Poll sent various bloggers around the state into a tizzy over its partisan ID numbers