hPVI 2017, House edition
Welcome to the Minnesota House release of the 2017 edition of hPVI, Minnesota’s Most Beloved Legislative District Metric™.
For more information on what hPVI is see the explainer. For programatic access to the numbers see the hPVI API.
House hPVI Histogram
The hPVI distribution of districts in the Minnesota House is very similar to the hPVI distribution of the districts in the Minnesota Senate. Since Senate districts are made up of House districts this makes sense.
Like in the Senate there are a bunch of super partisan DFL districts, and a bunch of moderately partisan Republican districts. Nineteen House districts have an hPVI more Democratic than the most Republican House district. While there are 24 more Republican districts in the 5-15 hPVI range than Democratic districts in the same range.
House hPVI Table Analysis
The macro analysis for the Senate district hPVI goes for the House too:
There was notable movement in some of the districts compared to the last edition of hPVI. Since the difference between the two editions is that the 2017 version uses 2016 Presidential data instead of 2012 Presidential data, you may be able to guesswhat that movement was. Districts in greater Minnesota tended to get more Republican while suburban districts tended to get more Democratic.
Some of the notable district movements are listed below.
Greater Minnesota District Movement
HD01A (Dan Fabian) went from R+4 to R+12, an 8 point swing.
HD02A (Matt Grossell) went from R+1 to R+7, a 6 point swing.
HD03A (Rob Ecklund) went from D+9 to D+4, a 5 point swing.
HD05B (Sandy Layman) went from D+2 to R+4, a 6 point swing.
HD06B (Jason Metsa) went from D+14 to D+6, an 8 point swing.
HD10B (Dale Lueck) went from R+3 to R+9, a 6 point swing.
HD11B (Jason Rarick) went from R+1 to R+8, a 7 point swing.
HD17A (Tim Miller) went from R+1 to R+9, an 8 point swing.
HD27A (Peggy Bennett) went from D+5 to R+3, an 8 point swing.
HD28B (Greg Davids) went from D+1 to R+5, a 6 point swing.
Suburban Minnesota District Movement
HD42A (Randy Jessup) went from D+3 to D+5, a 2 point swing.
HD44A (Sarah Anderson) went from R+3 to D+2, a 5 point swing.
HD48A (Laurie Pryor) went from D+3 to D+6, a 3 point swing.
HD48B (Jenifer Loon) went from R+4 to D+1, a 5 point swing.
HD49A (Dario Anselmo) went from D+2 to D+8, a 6 point swing.
HD51B (Laurie Halverson) went from D+2 to D+6, a 4 point swing.
HD53B (Kelly Fenton) went from R+4 to Even, a 4 point swing.
The House hPVI Table
| district | name | party | hpvi | rpvi | abs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01A | Dan Fabian | R | R+12 | -11.57 | 11.57 |
| 01B | Debra Kiel | R | R+8 | -8.37 | 8.37 |
| 02A | Matt Grossell | R | R+7 | -7.42 | 7.42 |
| 02B | Steve Green | R | R+12 | -12.46 | 12.46 |
| 03A | Rob Ecklund | DFL | D+4 | 3.57 | 3.57 |
| 03B | Mary Murphy | DFL | D+8 | 7.81 | 7.81 |
| 04A | Ben Lien | DFL | D+6 | 6.35 | 6.35 |
| 04B | Paul Marquart | DFL | R+5 | -5.20 | 5.20 |
| 05A | Matt Bliss | R | R+2 | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| 05B | Sandy Layman | R | R+4 | -3.77 | 3.77 |
| 06A | Julie Sandstede | DFL | D+8 | 7.67 | 7.67 |
| 06B | Jason Metsa | DFL | D+6 | 6.25 | 6.25 |
| 07A | Jennifer Schultz | DFL | D+19 | 19.27 | 19.27 |
| 07B | Liz Olson | DFL | D+18 | 17.69 | 17.69 |
| 08A | Bud Nornes | R | R+13 | -12.96 | 12.96 |
| 08B | Mary Franson | R | R+14 | -14.49 | 14.49 |
| 09A | John Poston | R | R+18 | -17.62 | 17.62 |
| 09B | Ron Kresha | R | R+18 | -17.95 | 17.95 |
| 10A | Josh Heintzeman | R | R+11 | -10.94 | 10.94 |
| 10B | Dale Lueck | R | R+9 | -9.37 | 9.37 |
| 11A | Mike Sundin | DFL | D+7 | 7.11 | 7.11 |
| 11B | Jason Rarick | R | R+8 | -8.43 | 8.43 |
| 12A | Jeff Backer | R | R+7 | -7.12 | 7.12 |
| 12B | Paul Anderson | R | R+18 | -17.92 | 17.92 |
| 13A | Jeff Howe | R | R+13 | -12.76 | 12.76 |
| 13B | Tim O'Driscoll | R | R+13 | -12.95 | 12.95 |
| 14A | Tama Theis | R | R+4 | -3.74 | 3.74 |
| 14B | Jim Knoblach | R | D+1 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| 15A | Sondra Erickson | R | R+14 | -14.02 | 14.02 |
| 15B | Jim Newberger | R | R+20 | -20.23 | 20.23 |
| 16A | Chris Swedzinski | R | R+9 | -9.42 | 9.42 |
| 16B | Paul Torkelson | R | R+14 | -14.41 | 14.41 |
| 17A | Tim Miller | R | R+9 | -9.16 | 9.16 |
| 17B | Dave Baker | R | R+7 | -6.61 | 6.61 |
| 18A | Dean Urdahl | R | R+15 | -14.52 | 14.52 |
| 18B | Glenn Gruenhagen | R | R+17 | -16.63 | 16.63 |
| 19A | Clark Johnson | DFL | D+1 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| 19B | John Considine Jr. | DFL | D+7 | 6.55 | 6.55 |
| 20A | Bob Vogel | R | R+13 | -13.19 | 13.19 |
| 20B | David Bly | DFL | D+4 | 3.68 | 3.68 |
| 21A | Barb Haley | R | R+3 | -2.87 | 2.87 |
| 21B | Steve Drazkowski | R | R+12 | -12.37 | 12.37 |
| 22A | Joe Schomacker | R | R+15 | -14.60 | 14.60 |
| 22B | Rod Hamilton | R | R+11 | -10.66 | 10.66 |
| 23A | Bob Gunther | R | R+15 | -15.14 | 15.14 |
| 23B | Tony Cornish | R | R+8 | -7.88 | 7.88 |
| 24A | John Petersburg | R | R+9 | -8.96 | 8.96 |
| 24B | Brian Daniels | R | R+8 | -8.04 | 8.04 |
| 25A | Duane Quam | R | R+8 | -8.31 | 8.31 |
| 25B | Duane Sauke | DFL | D+4 | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| 26A | Tina Liebling | DFL | D+8 | 7.90 | 7.90 |
| 26B | Nels Pierson | R | R+9 | -8.61 | 8.61 |
| 27A | Peggy Bennett | R | R+3 | -3.38 | 3.38 |
| 27B | Jeanne Poppe | DFL | EVEN | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| 28A | Gene Pelowski Jr. | DFL | D+3 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| 28B | Greg Davids | R | R+5 | -5.33 | 5.33 |
| 29A | Joe McDonald | R | R+15 | -15.35 | 15.35 |
| 29B | Marion O'Neill | R | R+13 | -13.01 | 13.01 |
| 30A | Nick Zerwas | R | R+14 | -13.78 | 13.78 |
| 30B | Eric Lucero | R | R+16 | -16.35 | 16.35 |
| 31A | Kurt Daudt | R | R+20 | -19.50 | 19.50 |
| 31B | Cal Bahr | R | R+15 | -15.46 | 15.46 |
| 32A | Brian Johnson | R | R+13 | -12.87 | 12.87 |
| 32B | Anne Neu | R | R+11 | -10.90 | 10.90 |
| 33A | Jerry Hertaus | R | R+12 | -11.94 | 11.94 |
| 33B | Cindy Pugh | R | R+4 | -3.81 | 3.81 |
| 34A | Joyce Peppin | R | R+8 | -8.30 | 8.30 |
| 34B | Dennis Smith | R | R+1 | -1.35 | 1.35 |
| 35A | Abigail Whelan | R | R+7 | -6.89 | 6.89 |
| 35B | Peggy Scott | R | R+10 | -9.88 | 9.88 |
| 36A | Mark Uglem | R | R+2 | -2.10 | 2.10 |
| 36B | Melissa Hortman | DFL | D+4 | 4.38 | 4.38 |
| 37A | Erin Koegel | DFL | D+1 | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| 37B | Nolan West | R | R+3 | -2.95 | 2.95 |
| 38A | Linda Runbeck | R | R+6 | -6.02 | 6.02 |
| 38B | Matt Dean | R | R+3 | -2.82 | 2.82 |
| 39A | Bob Dettmer | R | R+5 | -5.20 | 5.20 |
| 39B | Kathy Lohmer | R | R+1 | -1.09 | 1.09 |
| 40A | Michael V. Nelson | DFL | D+19 | 18.82 | 18.82 |
| 40B | Debra Hilstrom | DFL | D+18 | 18.07 | 18.07 |
| 41A | Connie Bernardy | DFL | D+10 | 10.08 | 10.08 |
| 41B | Mary Kunesh-Podein | DFL | D+16 | 15.66 | 15.66 |
| 42A | Randy Jessup | R | D+5 | 5.47 | 5.47 |
| 42B | Jamie Becker-Finn | DFL | D+9 | 9.08 | 9.08 |
| 43A | Peter Fischer | DFL | D+7 | 6.98 | 6.98 |
| 43B | Leon Lillie | DFL | D+6 | 6.34 | 6.34 |
| 44A | Sarah Anderson | R | D+2 | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| 44B | Jon Applebaum | DFL | D+8 | 8.17 | 8.17 |
| 45A | Lyndon Carlson Sr. | DFL | D+11 | 10.92 | 10.92 |
| 45B | Mike Freiberg | DFL | D+17 | 17.40 | 17.40 |
| 46A | Peggy Flanagan | DFL | D+19 | 18.88 | 18.88 |
| 46B | Cheryl Youakim | DFL | D+21 | 21.42 | 21.42 |
| 47A | Jim Nash | R | R+15 | -15.35 | 15.35 |
| 47B | Joe Hoppe | R | R+6 | -6.19 | 6.19 |
| 48A | Laurie Pryor | DFL | D+6 | 6.18 | 6.18 |
| 48B | Jenifer Loon | R | D+1 | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| 49A | Dario Anselmo | R | D+8 | 8.42 | 8.42 |
| 49B | Paul Rosenthal | DFL | D+7 | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| 50A | Linda Slocum | DFL | D+15 | 15.45 | 15.45 |
| 50B | Andrew Carlson | DFL | D+9 | 8.52 | 8.52 |
| 51A | Sandra Masin | DFL | D+7 | 6.74 | 6.74 |
| 51B | Laurie Halverson | DFL | D+6 | 5.70 | 5.70 |
| 52A | Rick Hansen | DFL | D+10 | 9.77 | 9.77 |
| 52B | Regina Barr | R | D+3 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| 53A | JoAnn Ward | DFL | D+8 | 7.51 | 7.51 |
| 53B | Kelly Fenton | R | EVEN | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| 54A | Keith Franke | R | D+4 | 3.54 | 3.54 |
| 54B | Tony Jurgens | R | R+2 | -2.02 | 2.02 |
| 55A | Bob Loonan | R | R+4 | -4.00 | 4.00 |
| 55B | Tony Albright | R | R+13 | -13.08 | 13.08 |
| 56A | Drew Christensen | R | R+1 | -1.40 | 1.40 |
| 56B | Roz Peterson | R | EVEN | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| 57A | Erin Maye Quade | DFL | D+2 | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| 57B | Anna Wills | R | EVEN | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| 58A | Jon Koznick | R | R+7 | -7.41 | 7.41 |
| 58B | Pat Garofalo | R | R+10 | -10.15 | 10.15 |
| 59A | Fue Lee | DFL | D+34 | 33.94 | 33.94 |
| 59B | Raymond Dehn | DFL | D+34 | 33.67 | 33.67 |
| 60A | Diane Loeffler | DFL | D+33 | 33.16 | 33.16 |
| 60B | Ilhan Omar | DFL | D+35 | 35.01 | 35.01 |
| 61A | Frank Hornstein | DFL | D+34 | 34.36 | 34.36 |
| 61B | Paul Thissen | DFL | D+34 | 33.89 | 33.89 |
| 62A | Karen Clark | DFL | D+41 | 40.89 | 40.89 |
| 62B | Susan Allen | DFL | D+42 | 41.60 | 41.60 |
| 63A | Jim Davnie | DFL | D+38 | 37.71 | 37.71 |
| 63B | Jean Wagenius | DFL | D+28 | 28.16 | 28.16 |
| 64A | Erin Murphy | DFL | D+33 | 33.05 | 33.05 |
| 64B | Dave Pinto | DFL | D+26 | 26.30 | 26.30 |
| 65A | Rena Moran | DFL | D+36 | 36.02 | 36.02 |
| 65B | Carlos Mariani | DFL | D+30 | 30.14 | 30.14 |
| 66A | Alice Hausman | DFL | D+21 | 20.94 | 20.94 |
| 66B | John Lesch | DFL | D+31 | 30.95 | 30.95 |
| 67A | Tim Mahoney | DFL | D+25 | 24.89 | 24.89 |
| 67B | Sheldon Johnson | DFL | D+25 | 24.58 | 24.58 |
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